The HS pipeline is in critical condition. Student intent (33.6) and parent enrollment intent (38.3) are both below 40/100. 44% of MS students don't understand pathway options, and 40% of current HS students are struggling. Any program design changes must address both the awareness gap (students don't know what's offered) and the experience gap (current HS students report 64.2 stress).
| Division | Respondents | Committed | Leaning In | Unsure | Leaning Out | Leaving |
|---|
CP demand outpaces DP almost 2:1. Among students who plan to stay, 39 want a career-focused program mixing academics with real-world skills, vs. 23 who want the full IB Diploma. Only 5 want partial IB or innovation pathways.
The retention crisis overshadows program choice: 55 students (45%) don't plan to stay regardless of what program is offered. Of the 47 parents asked about HS, only 3 are committed and 11 are actively leaving.
Feature demand tells the story: Students' top priorities are low stress (53 mentions), competitive athletics (44), and course variety (40). IB Diploma ranks 5th with only 30 mentions. Students want breadth and balance, not just academic rigor.
The data is unambiguous: Athletics is Magellan's largest single competitive gap (56.5/100). Only 4% of parents view the club sports model as a strength.
High-Risk families care most: The families most likely to leave also rate athletics highest in importance — meaning athletics investment directly reduces attrition.
The structural problem: With 20 HS students, Magellan can't field competitive teams. Free public schools (Anderson, Westlake) offer UIL athletics at no cost. This is a gap that money alone won't fix — it requires scale.
The top gaps — Sports, Stress Balance, and School Size — are all structural issues tied to scale. A school with 20 HS students cannot offer competitive athletics, diverse course selection, or the "big school energy" that students crave.
The bottom gaps — Small Classes, Spanish, Diversity — are Magellan's moat. Students don't want these to change. Program design should protect these strengths while addressing the top 3-4 gaps.